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PROCeed Laboratory supports decision makers in choosing the best solutions by simulating the consequences of decisions and events that are based on predefined cause-effect rules.

PROCeed Laboratory makes it possible for commanders to (1) identify the area at and threatened critical infrastructure, (2) assess the impact of materialised threat onto the critical infrastructure elements, (3) recognise the interdependencies among them, (4) get insight into the possible courses of action.

The most important function it that the PROCeed Lab shows how the future course of action may be influenced by commanders’ decisions.  
PROCeed Laboratory can be applied for mission planning during the phase of a . At that stage it can help commanders (or other decision makers) solve many expected dilemmas e.g. establishing priorities of actions, choosing the way of dispatching the limited resources, selecting more efficient procedure of action.

Supported Use Cases

Making CM decisions after analysis in PROCeed Laboratory

Initiating actor

Tactical level actor (decision maker/commander)

Participating actors

Tactical level actor (at Command, Control and Coordination Centre)

Goal

I minimize number of victims among a hospital patients

Pre-conditions

  • Siedrecht hospital:
    • 1200 patients
    • 200 patients at ICU
  • Mervede river: water level rises dangerously
  • Evacuation team: activated
  • Evacuation resources: made ready
  • Fuel tank truck: made ready 
  • Mervede river: dykes break

Sequence of actions

Seq. #

Actor

System

1

Learns that the Crayestain transformer station does not operate because of inundation

COP

2

Simulates what are the possible consequences of the break in electricity supply.

Learns that it may affect Sliedrecht hospital.

PROCeed Laboratory

3

Command an evacuation of the hospital

Tasking application

4

Learns that there are no electricity in Sliedrecht residential area

COP

5

Learns that the Sliedrecht hospital turned to backup powering

COP or Voice communication system

6

Gets the message that the evacuation of patients has been commenced.

COP, Voice communication system or Reporting system

7

Gets the information that the power restoration will take at least 10 hours

COP or Voice communication system

8

Simulates how the evacuation will proceed and what will be the final effect.

Learns that in 6 hours the fuel for hospital powering system will be out and the evacuation may not succeed with number of patients from ICU; in effect they may die.

PROCeed Laboratory

9

Dispatches a fuel tank truck to the hospital

Tasking application

10

He gets the information that fuel tank truck arrived the hospital and provided enough fuel for power backup system to operate for next 48 hours

COP or Voice communication system

11

Gets the information that the evacuation has ended; 1180 patients has been evacuated; state of the rest 20 patients have not allowed for evacuation

COP, Voice communication system or Reporting system

12

Learns that the power is restored

COP

Exceptions

Tactical level actor may not command an evacuation

Tactical level actor may not dispatch a fuel tank truck to the hospital

Post-conditions

No hospital patient deceased.

Rules

The actor makes decisions by simulation of possible courses of events and assessing final consequences of the decisions.

Success criteria

The overall effect of made decisions better than in test case 2.

Related CM functions

Making CM decisions intuitively (without any simulator)

Initiating actor

Tactical level actor (decision maker/commander)

Participating actors

Tactical level actor (at Command, Control and Coordination Centre)

Goal

I minimize number of victims among a hospital patients

Pre-conditions

  • Siedrecht hospital:
    • 1200 patients
    • 200 patients at ICU
  • Mervede river: water level rises dangerously
  • Evacuation team: activated
  • Evacuation resources: made ready
  • Fuel tank truck: made ready 
  • Mervede river: dykes break

Sequence of actions

Seq. #

Actor

System

1

Learns that the Crayestain transformer station does not operate because of inundation

COP

2

Learns that there are no electricity in Sliedrecht residential area

COP

3

Learns that the Sliedrecht hospital turned to backup powering

COP or Voice communication system

4

Command an evacuation of the hospital

Tasking application

5

Gets the information that the power restoration will take at least 10 hours

COP or Voice communication system

6

Gets the message that the evacuation of patients has been commenced.

COP, Voice communication system or Reporting system

7

He gets the information that the fuel for hospital powering system is out; patients requiring life support equipment may decease soon.

COP or Voice communication system

 

Exceptions

Tactical level actor may not command an evacuation earlier by intuition

Tactical level actor may dispatch a fuel tank truck to the hospital also by intuition

Post-conditions

Around 150 hospital patients decease.

Rules

The actor makes decisions basing on the information from COP and the intuition.

 

Supported CM functions

The supports the following CM functions from the Command, Control and Coordination functional area:

  • Provide orientation of the decision-makers, proposing courses of action, priorities, resource allocation and other immediate measures

Rationale: simulation and visualisation of possible event chains in a specific situations allow a CM decision maker to identify right properties, efficiently allocate resources and propose the optimal courses of activities

  • Manage resources to cope with priority tasks

Rationale: by simulating alternative ways of resources deployment a CM decision maker can observe potential consequences of these decisions and manage resources according to the priorities

Related CM functions

PROCeed Laboratory Use Case

PROCeed Laboratory contain currently four different ready-to-use models e.g.:

• Train derailment and fire caused by hazardous materials at the Belgium/German border – involves the International Union of Railways, DB Security Corporate Unit, Infrabel, Aachen Fire Department, German Federal Police, German Services, German Civil Protection, Belgium Civil Protection;

• Flooding in the Netherlands – involves the South-Holland-South Safety Region, Safety Region, Water Board, National Government, Municipalities, Drinkwater & Energy suppliers, ICT & Telecom, Industry, Transport & Logistics;

• Maritime incident in Finland – involves the Finnish Environment Institute, Finnish Border Guard & Customs, Finnish Environment Institute, Finnish Navy, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki harbour, Helsinki Rescue department, Finnish Transport Safety Agency, Finnish Transport Agency, Oil company, VTT;

• Flood in Greece – involves Fireservices EMAK 1i and Diikisi Ditikis Attikis, Attica’s Regional Authority in downtown Athens, General Secretary of Civil Protection, Unified Fund for Subsistence and Lump-sum Benefits, Deputy Finance Minister, European Parliament , Nireus Aquaculture, National Bank, Greek Tourism Confederation, Johnson & Johnson Group of Consumer Companies.

These models were used in demonstrations with practitioners in the PREDICT and NEPTUNE EU projects.

MODES OF OPERATION

The following screenshots illustrate selected operations that can be done using PROCeed Laboratory application, i.e. in the following modes: browsing, object management and management.

Browsing mode

In this mode a user can see the information on objects and their properties. On the figure above the Crayestein electric transformer station has been selected from the menu on the left side. The properties of this object may be seen e.g. location, general state, working state, telecom availability.

Object Management mode

In the Object Management mode a user can change the object properties. On the figure above an electric power station in Sliedrecht has been selected from the menu on the left side. User can change the properties of this objects e.g. name, description, working state, general state.

Management mode

In this mode a user can analyse the alternative courses of action. A user can begin the simulation by clicking on the START button. On the timeline there are also marked events and decision points for a user. After starting the simulation a user encounters to a decision point and has to decide whether to analyse the alternative situation or go further. The ansers to the questions define the sequence of events, cascading effects that can be analysed by a user. During the simulation a user can freely go forward and backward in the scenario. With the control button on the timeline user can get back and try another answer to the question to test alternative situation. 

Related CM functions

PROCeedLab.pdf

User Story in accordance with trial“The Netherlands“ scenario

AS A tactical level actor(decisionmaker/commander)
•FROMCM organization (atCommand, Control and CoordinationCentre)
•I WANT TO efficiently coordinateresponse for large-scalecrisis utilising the limited amountof resources
•SO THAT number of victims and damagesareminimised

Related CM functions

Addressed hazards
Innovation stage
Readiness
Crisis Cycle Phase
Crisis size
Illustrations
Proceed Laboratory interface
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