Using Monte Carlo simulation to refine emergency logistics response models: a case study.

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide a framework for the development of emergency logistics response models. The proposition of a conceptual framework is in itself not sufficient and simulation models are further needed in order to help emergency logistics decision makers in refining their preparedness planning process. Design/methodology/approach – The paper presents a framework proposition with illustrative case study. Findings – The use of simulation modelling can help enhance the reliability and validity of developed emergency response model. Research limitations/implications – The emergency response model outcomes are still based on simulated outputs and would still need to be validated in a real-life environment. Proposing a new or revised emergency logistics response model is not sufficient. Developed logistics response models need to be further validated and simulation modelling can help enhance validity. Practical implications – Emergency logistics decision makers can make better informed decisions based on simulation model output and can further refine their decision-making capability. Originality/value – The paper posits the contribution of simulation modelling as part of the framework for developing and refining emergency logistics response.